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  1. #11
    BPnet Veteran Jonas@Balls2TheWall's Avatar
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    Re: Proving a morph, kind of..?

    Quote Originally Posted by paulh View Post
    Here is the formula you want.

    P^n > 0.99

    P = probability of a single egg not producing a pastel
    ^ = to the power
    n = number of eggs.

    The probability of producing a pastel is 25% = 0.25. So P = 0.75.

    By a little trial and error with my calculator, n = 17. So you hatch 17 eggs. Every baby is normal, enchi, bright enchi or something other than a pastel. Then you have a 99.2% probability that the bright enchi parent is not a pastel enchi. More eggs raises the probability, but 99% is a good cutoff point.

    If one or more pastels hatch, then you can stop before 17 eggs, of course.
    Thanks for posting. I remember a similar formula from Bio classes.

  2. #12
    House Snakes Addict... Aes_Sidhe's Avatar
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    Yea that works for dominant gene but....
    What if Your "dinker" is Recessive ?? I took like 5-6 years ??? for BHB to Prove Sunset....???


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  3. #13
    BPnet Veteran RoseyReps's Avatar
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    Re: Proving a morph, kind of..?

    Quote Originally Posted by Aes_Sidhe View Post
    Yea that works for dominant gene but....
    What if Your "dinker" is Recessive ?? I took like 5-6 years ??? for BHB to Prove Sunset....???
    Very true. But my question was specifically about already proven incomplete dominates

    I would think a possible recessive / dinker would take at least 4 years to prove out. All depends on how many girls you get from the first pairings (assuming your dinker was a boy.) Girl dinkers would take longer to prove I suspect.

    I thought I read somewhere that brain admitted to dropping the ball a bit with the sunset, as in wasn't pushing proving it out after it didn't show up as incomplete dom? I could be way off in la la land on that one.

    Edit: think I misinterpreted the first part of the post, disregard my second sentence. >_<
    Last edited by RoseyReps; 11-18-2012 at 12:12 AM.

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