Sure, here's it simplified. Your secondary (on/off) thermostat should always be on. If your primary fails in the "on" position, your secondary will turn power off to both. Gambling or confidence doesn't factor in here.
If the secondary fails in the "on" position, it doesn't matter because it's not providing heat to anything. It will simply allow your primary to continue functioning as normal. Your secondary should always be on anyways. Herpstat is reliable but should still be backed up. Losing a clutch of eggs or a rack of snakes in not a fun experience, especially when a fool-proof method of prevention is so easy and relatively inexpensive.
It's been a long day so I may not be reading correctly. What I'm taking away from your link though is that Spyder Robotics says that their Herpstats are inherently designed to fail in the "on" position (per the Triac component). They have taken steps to help prevent this in the higher end models but the default failure is still the on position regardless. They also give this prominent warning:
It then goes on to recommend backing Herpstats up with a secondary on/off.Also keep in mind that even with the highest quality components ALL electronics have the possibility of failure.










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