Quote Originally Posted by Izzys Keeper View Post
If you do the math at the end of the day 1:4 per egg still translates to 1:4 for the clutch. Not saying you cant beat the odds and get all bels. You can just as well get no bels.
were arguing the same point. Not saying your wrong by claiming its per egg but you are mistaken if you claim its not also per clutch. Statistically out of 100 eggs, 25 will be bels (in the ideal perfect world). Open 4 eggs and statistically it will be 1 bel. Open 1 egg (which can represent a 1 egg clutch) and its still 25% @ a bel.

Now your argument about consecutive females is different. The odd will be deifferent if you expect to get multiple females consecutively. But out of the whole clutch the odds will still be 50:50 (as well as per egg). After 1 female emerging,your odds of getting a second consecutive female (in a row) drops. This will not magically change what is in the next egg but playing your odds will show you that the probability of a second female is lower than before you opened the first egg. After 2 females you have to be pretty lucky to hit a third consecutive because the odds multiply (i beleive exponentially but i may be mistaken). In the end the odds should still balance out to about 50:50 male/female for the entire clutch.

In the end the argument is moot. It works both ways (perclutch/per egg)
Not so, but believe what you want. The odd's of hitting a female on the 1st egg is 1:2, 2nd egg is still 1:2... 3rd egg is still 1:2. The odds do not multiply exponentially as you go as it is per each individual egg. You can extrapolate it for the clutch if you wish for simplicity, but it is per egg and they are not the same. You contradict yourself by saying the odds change after you hit one female.... not so. The odd's are still 1:2 per egg- PERIOD.

Xx times Yy has 4 possible outcomes per egg. Draw a Punnett Square. After the 1st egg is sexed look at the Punnet square. Did it change? Nope.... that's cause it's per egg. If you have one child and it is a boy that does not decrease your chances of having a boy on your next child.

We're not talking statistics about flipping coins and rolling dice. We're talking genetic odd's on any given single egg. Each egg has it's own odd's. The previous egg has no bearing on the odds of the next egg.