The odds are per egg. If there is only 1 egg does that mean we will have no chance at hitting a BEL? No- it means we have a 1:4 odds of hitting a BEL on that egg. If we have 100 eggs it still means we only have a 1:4 odds at each egg. Sure, you can say you're odd's are 25/100, but what it really breaks down to is that there is 1:4 odd's per egg no matter how you crack them.
What's the odd's you'll get a female out of any egg for any clutch? 1:2... if your first egg is a female, what are the odds your 2nd egg will be a female? 3rd egg and so on.... the odd's are per egg. The more egg's you get, the higher your chances of hitting any desired (or undesired) morph.
Odd's and chances at the odd's are quite different. If you hold one lottery ticket with 1:1,000,000 odds you probably wasted $1, but if you hold 500,000 tickets your chances are much better. The odd's are still 1:1,000,000 per ticket.
The sperm do not all line up and decide who's jumping in each egg to make the odd's right for the entire clutch.









Reply With Quote