The female could be better chance-wise. But consider you'll probably get her as a baby, then it will take 2-3 years to get her up to size. With the male you could have him bred to your two females within a year/year and a half.
One female producing 4-7 eggs in 3 years with a 25% chance of getting a honey bee, vs 2 females producing 8-14 eggs twice with a 12.5% chance.
It is up to you, but at your current needs and availability I'd go with the male.