they never really know until its practically on top of us... were in southeast florida and under a tropical storm watch (36hrs) until it hits the warm water after cuba and has a chance to get in open seas will we have a better idea of what the intensity is going to be... as for projected path, there are always about 8 different paths it *could* take... lets just hope it doesnt linger around, TS or hurricane, pain in the butt to drive in!!
Be safe to those of you who are traveling early for the expo!