He's finally entered a shed cycle, deep blue and all (suspected so as he suddenly hunkered down in his humidity box for roughly 3 days straight). I've been doing everything I can to keep humidity up and have been leaving him alone as much as possible.
Only took him out for maintenance (he pooped in the humidity box) and one other brief handling session since it was a rare visit from extended family members who had been wanting to meet him ever since he arrived but haven't been able to since, you know, 2020.
Fingers crossed his first shed with me goes well.