Yes, this is what i was referring to. I don't think water spilled on the probe would damage it, just mess up the temps.
Ricky, have you ever checked your snakes with a temp gun? Like the temp of the actual snake? I have my hot spot set to 90. When the 86 degree snake lays on the probe then its gunna send more heat thinking it needs to be hotter when it doesn't.
Also, i'm not sure the temp of the room would effect where the probe is so much. The probe is right under the tub, in a groove, towards the back of the rack. The temp where the probe is compared to the temp inside the tub through a few millimeters of plastic can't be significantly different.