the answer to the question would be 25%. But if the 50% possible het proves out, it jumps to 50%. if the 50% possible het doesnt prove out, it goes to zero.


but it all comes down to statistics and as the possibilities get more remote, the math gets less meaningful and more complicated.

if you manage to prove something out, the possible het parents turn into 100% proven hets, thats clear.

But if you for example breed a visual to a possible 50% het, and get 4 eggs and no hit, its no longer a 50% het. You know you got 4 misses and no hits and if it would be a 100% het, the chances of that occuring are just 6.25%. So all the percentages for possible hets only make sense for snakes that have not been bred in any pairing where you could hit a visible, as soon as you get eggs the numbers change.

Also its a bit pointless for practical reasons, breeders working on a recessive project can easily avoid the production of possible hets (producing visuals and 100% hets) and often do so. So there are enough 100% hets out there to make 66% hets quite unattractive, 50% hets become almost completely meaningless, and people dont care for anything lower than that.