Mojave + Mojave = Blue eyed Lucy?

[Izzys Keeper]

I'm talking on a per egg basis- apples to apples. No English debate- just pure genetics.

You cannot deny that EVERY egg has 1:4 odds of being a BEL independant of all other eggs. To say that one egg's outcome has a bearing on the odds of another egg is just plain crazy. Statistically it may make sense, but we're not talking statistics. We're talking genetics. Each egg has it's own individual 1:4 odds, and you cannot change that no matter how much you would like to. That is genetics.

A six egg clutch should get me 1.5 BEL's if you wanna talk clutches. Does that make sense? No. That is an extrapolation of the Punnett Square, and just a statistical "guestimate", which is not genetics.

I said numerous times that one egg obviously will not affect the next but the odds of hitting the same morph multiple times CONSECUTIVELY and exceeding the statistic expectation decreases each time you come up with that morph.

You can say its not about statistics and chance but in reality thats ALL we can go by because we cannot correctly predict the outcome. All we have to go by are the odds and Statistics.

I AM NOT DENYING THAT IT WORKS "PER EGG". BUT IT IS WRONG TO SAY THAT IT ALSO DOESNT TRANSLATE MATHEMATICALLY "PER CLUTCH"

I just remember him asking about CHANCE (which pertains to odds and "guestimating") and not the actual 100% correct prediction of the outcome of his clutch...

In the genetic wizard it says I have a 25% CHANCE to get a Blue Eyed Lucy, Is this a per egg or per clutch CHANCE?