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  1. #11
    BPnet Veteran Serpent_Nirvana's Avatar
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    Re: what are the odds of nothing???

    Quote Originally Posted by RandyRemington View Post
    The chance of missing on six 50/50 eggs in a row is 0.5^6 = 1.5625% so your chance of getting at least one pied was 98.4375%
    Woo!! I'm not crazy!

  2. #12
    BPnet Veteran DemmBalls's Avatar
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    Re: what are the odds of nothing???

    My first clutch was a pastel to a normal. We had 8 eggs and 9 babies...And only got 1 pastel! This hobby can be very humbling! Just try again next year and I'm sorry about your luck.
    -Jordan

    Balls
    0.1 Pinstripe.............................1.0 DH Lavender Snow
    0.2 PH Lavender Albino.............0.1 Bumblebee
    0.1 Pastel PH Ghost..................1.0 Pastel Het Ghost
    0.2 PH Ghost (Twins)................1.0 Cinnamon
    0.1 Het TSK Axanthic................1.3 Mojave
    0.1 Het Albino..........................1.0 Albino PH Pied
    1.1 Het Pied.............................1.0 Dinker
    1.2 Normal...............................1.0 Pastel Lesser

    Boa
    0.1 Super Salmon Het Sunglow


    Check us out at: http://www.facebook.com/#!/pages/Dem...13090085417762

  3. #13
    BPnet Veteran Blue Apple Herps's Avatar
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    Yup, 1/64 chance of NOT getting a pied.

    You get that from each egg being a 1/2 chance of being a pied. So for one egg to not be a pied, AND another egg not be a pied is a 1/2 x 1/2 = 1/4 chance. Just keep expanding that for 6 eggs.

  4. #14
    BPnet Royalty SlitherinSisters's Avatar
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    It happens more than you think. I've spoke with several people that took 2-3 years to prove their 100% het was actually a het.

  5. #15
    BPnet Veteran mr.spooky's Avatar
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    Re: what are the odds of nothing???

    Quote Originally Posted by SlitherinSisters View Post
    It happens more than you think. I've spoke with several people that took 2-3 years to prove their 100% het was actually a het.
    thanks for the reply... i dont have nothing to loose, so ill pair them up a few times more. i dont guess theres anything wrong with having a dedicated 100% het producer......... im trying to look on the bright side of things
    thanks
    spooky

  6. #16
    BPnet Veteran mechnut450's Avatar
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    I gotten 1 pied from a 100% het to 100% het last season this seasdon I got slugs ( and she gain over 300 grams from her laying weight) and I got 6 eggs.
    you should of hit the odds at least once. I be wondering about the person you got her from if you don't get a pied in the next clutch. I only but hets if they got paper work, and if i get some thing the ( like my mojave ) that only 50% het pied she a normal until I can prove her out.
    Was married to 4theSNAKElady (still wish we were)
    Ball pythons
    0.1 pieds 1.0 banana pied
    0.1 het pied

    3.1 sugar gliders ( non breeding pets)

  7. #17
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    Re: what are the odds of nothing???

    I have the same problem now. I bought some het albinos in around 2002, I bred them this season for the first time long story how i took so long.

    This year they didn't prove out will be doing the same breeding this season coming to see how my luck goes if nothing will be replacing with a albino male.

    Also bred some spiders this season one clutch is hatching now which was bred with a albino female i bought in. Theres 3 Spiders of 5 eggs. So average odds there. One of the eggs has yet to pip.
    Last edited by clarky_man; 09-27-2011 at 09:56 AM.

  8. #18
    BPnet Lifer snakesRkewl's Avatar
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    I'd try one more time and hope to make a pied, otherwise somethings not right.
    Last edited by snakesRkewl; 09-27-2011 at 10:41 AM.
    Jerry Robertson

  9. #19
    Registered User Simplex's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by RandyRemington View Post
    your chance of getting at least one pied was 98.4375%
    UR GOLDEN give it another go.. U got 1.5625% room in stead of a measly .5%

    Quote Originally Posted by mr.spooky View Post
    (unless theres a 99.5% chance that i should get atleast one pied.)
    2.6 ball pythons 3.12 ASF
    Cofounder www.softfurs.com

    Like us Facebook
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  10. #20
    BPnet Veteran mr.spooky's Avatar
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    Re: what are the odds of nothing???

    Quote Originally Posted by Simplex View Post
    UR GOLDEN give it another go.. U got 1.5625% room in stead of a measly .5%
    so are you saying i have a chance?
    spooky

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