whats the chances a of bumble bee in my female spiders first ever clucth

[Serpent_Nirvana]

Is there a way to calculate the per clutch odds of hitting on a given morph by multiplying the per egg odds and subtracting from 100, or something like that?

Am I dreaming things? Statistics was a looong time ago ...

So for example: Odds per egg of NOT getting a bumblebee are 75%

He has four eggs in this clutch

0.75^4 = 0.32 --> 32% chance of totally missing the bumblebee .. ??

100 - 32 --> 68% chance of hitting the bumblebee in that clutch ..??

... I totally and completely made that up ... It might be totally and completely wrong. ... Does anyone remember if there is a way to calculate that?

[MidSouthMorphs]

Is there a way to calculate the per clutch odds of hitting on a given morph by multiplying the per egg odds and subtracting from 100, or something like that?

Am I dreaming things? Statistics was a looong time ago ...

So for example: Odds per egg of NOT getting a bumblebee are 75%

He has four eggs in this clutch

0.75^4 = 0.32 --> 32% chance of totally missing the bumblebee .. ??

100 - 32 --> 68% chance of hitting the bumblebee in that clutch ..??

... I totally and completely made that up ... It might be totally and completely wrong. ... Does anyone remember if there is a way to calculate that?

Not to a point no, I'll just go with what you said. It looks good atleast. I think the 25% solution makes it easier to follow, that is what I go with to keep it simple.

[MS2]

My first time odds this year from pastel X spider. 3 bumble bees, 3 pastel, and 1 normal. I think I hit those "lotto odds"

[RandyRemington]

Exactly right Serpent_Nirvana. This is why the more eggs the better your odds!

Is there a way to calculate the per clutch odds of hitting on a given morph by multiplying the per egg odds and subtracting from 100, or something like that?

Am I dreaming things? Statistics was a looong time ago ...

So for example: Odds per egg of NOT getting a bumblebee are 75%

He has four eggs in this clutch

0.75^4 = 0.32 --> 32% chance of totally missing the bumblebee .. ??

100 - 32 --> 68% chance of hitting the bumblebee in that clutch ..??

... I totally and completely made that up ... It might be totally and completely wrong. ... Does anyone remember if there is a way to calculate that?

[Subdriven]

My first time odds this year from pastel X spider. 3 bumble bees, 3 pastel, and 1 normal. I think I hit those "lotto odds"

My first year tying for a bee was 5 spiders, 1 pastel and 2 normals. This year with the same pairing I got 5 spiders 1 pastel 1 normal and 1 bee.