Check your water to substrate ratio. If they are too wet, setup a new tub and use less water. If you have no substrate, then put a few holes in the tub to get a small amount of air flow. Too much humidity isn't a good thing I believe. I haven't had my first clutch, this is just info I've read about or asked to other breeders before.
Yes your bugging out for no reason, just adjust the humidity levels and try to keep the door/top to your incubator closed. Cycle the air every few days, and try not too pull your hair out waiting!
If you're pairing, you should always have your incubator running! 1 lock is all it can take if done at the right time, and it seems like you did it! The size of the incubator shouldnt matter for just 1 clutch, just make sure you're parameters are correct and play the waiting game.
Congrats!
What was the pairing?
Trey Jackson