No, the problem is it's a styrofoam box incubator and because the thermostat is not proportional the temp keeps raising a bit even after the heating is off (styrofoam keeps the temps very well), and then the thermostat turns on after the temp loweres, and it drops a bit below the set temp, before heating cable is back up to temp. So it's not the probe problem.
And I'm wondering if those small temp swings are harmfull for eggs?