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  1. #19
    BPnet Royalty OhhWatALoser's Avatar
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    Re: Bogus Het question ?

    Quote Originally Posted by Watever View Post
    I don't want to be an ass by bringing that topic back but I think those stats are wrong.

    What are the potential scenarios ??
    N for normal looking het albino and A for albino

    1 : NNNNNNN (all normals)
    2 : ANNNNNN (1 albino)
    3 : AANNNNN (2 albinos)
    4 : AAANNNN (...)
    5 : AAAANNN
    6 : AAAAANN
    8 : AAAAAAN
    9 : AAAAAAA

    As you can see, there is 4 possible scenario that could occur from this breeding.

    So what's the odds of not producing an albino from a 7 egg clutch ? 1/9 = 11.11 %
    Probability of producing at least 1 albino : 8/9 = 88.88 %


    Am I right ???
    1 egg is 1/2
    2 egg is 1/4
    3 egg is 1/8
    4 egg is 1/16
    5 egg is 1/32
    6 egg is 1/64
    7 egg is 1/128 = .78%

    by your logic a 2 egg would yeild 3 out comes

    AA
    AN
    NN

    so chance would be 1/3 which is wrong, your forgetting someone

    AA
    AN
    NA
    NN

    wish it worked that way, would be alot easier to get double or triple morphs lol.

    so your table should have 128 outcomes thats also have things such as
    ANAAAAA
    AANAAAA
    AAANAAA
    ect

    also i remeber Brian on snakebytes said that there was a guy who went through 20 or 30 some eggs before proving out a het. sometimes life sucks i guess lol.
    Last edited by OhhWatALoser; 10-27-2009 at 05:07 PM.

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