The REAL reason for dropping prices?

[JoshJP7]

dont want to side track the post but earlier I read the first fire male was 12k in 06... does that mean its impossible someone has an 06 female fire for sale?

[snakelady]

I got an email earlier today saying 08 Pastel Pairs - $150....thats extremely low

Yeah that is...

[starmom]

I got an email earlier today saying 08 Pastel Pairs - $150....thats extremely low

Wonder what they look like.....

[nevohraalnavnoj]

Well, mainly because all the $12k fire males from 2006 are now breeding and throwing 50% fire offspring. The morph market, and co-dominant traits specifically, adhere to an inverted bell curve, with high prices on the initial stock, bottoming out after 2 years or so, and then sky-rocketing again when the morph begins appearing in double- and triple-combo morphs.

Very, very interesting. I've thought about trying to compile some data of the various morph types..recessives, doms, co doms and trying to fit some curves in order to see if there is a correlation. It would take a lot of data though.

And if one could get those curves, you could maybe put together an optimized snake portfolio, with investments hedged between short term (co-dom/dom) and long term (recessive/double recessive) investments.

JonV

[Spider]

well i for one do not mind it at all, cheaper snakes= more snakes i can afford, more snakes= one happy herp ;]

[yeahyeah]

Very, very interesting. I've thought about trying to compile some data of the various morph types..recessives, doms, co doms and trying to fit some curves in order to see if there is a correlation. It would take a lot of data though.

And if one could get those curves, you could maybe put together an optimized snake portfolio, with investments hedged between short term (co-dom/dom) and long term (recessive/double recessive) investments.

JonV

The ball market is so volatile and unpredictable I don't think it's possible. For all we know, ball pythons could be banned in the future.

[Beardedragon]

dont want to side track the post but earlier I read the first fire male was 12k in 06... does that mean its impossible someone has an 06 female fire for sale?

Ive read that there are alot of fake/unproved fire lines going around.

[nevohraalnavnoj]

The ball market is so volatile and unpredictable I don't think it's possible. For all we know, ball pythons could be banned in the future.

Hmm.....good point. But there are people who do similar things with the stock market...and they are sitting on a beach, having a drink with a little umbrella, probably reading this post on Wi-Fi.

Legislative risk is hard to account for. Basically, anything could be banned tomorrow.

We need to increase reptile awareness on every front to avoid this. Have people over to see your reptiles, educate as much as you can. The more people know about them, the more the phobia for them subsides, the less politicians will be able to justify banning them as a good days work.

JonV

[West Coast Jungle]

I always worry about those real low prices.
Anyone who has been doing this for a while can tell you about those deals, many times they dont pan out well or they are mutts that most people wouldn't want. I have personally seen and had my own bad experiences with the cheapo price from whats his name breeders.

[FIREball]

Ive read that there are alot of fake/unproved fire lines going around.

The fires that are $700 are from Amirs Flame Hypo line