whats the chances a of bumble bee in my female spiders first ever clucth

hey all mainly breeders,

whats my chances of my male pastel and my female spider producing a bumble bee in her first ever clucth???


thaaaanks :D

25% Pastel
25% Spider
25%Bumblee bee
25% Normal

And thats 25% per egg, not the entire clutch.;)

so if i get 4 eggs thats the possible outcome???

as if i did get a bumble bee i would like to mix that with a lesser plat

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Originally Posted by crazy ball

so if i get 4 eggs thats the possible outcome???

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thats the possible out come. you could get 4 normals or if you lotto odds are great you could get 4 bees or anything in between ;)

so nobody can actually say right i have 4 eggs this is whats inside???lol

Correct, their is no sure way of knowing until you visually see them. Unless it's like a Super Pastel x Normal. All will be Pastels. Even then, you could get a surprise.

good luck

my hope is one day start off with my spider and pastel produce a bumble bee breed the bumble bee to a lesser plat to try and get a queen bee/lesser bee

i aim to breed snakes just to build up my own collection then the ones i dont want ill sell to buy other morphs lol as here in the uk theres not many good breeders about

Quote:

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Originally Posted by crazy ball

so if i get 4 eggs thats the possible outcome???

as if i did get a bumble bee i would like to mix that with a lesser plat

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Each of those eggs as 25% chance to be either Pastel, Bee, Spider or normal.

You could hatch 4 Bees or you could hatch 4 Normals.

Is there a way to calculate the per clutch odds of hitting on a given morph by multiplying the per egg odds and subtracting from 100, or something like that?

Am I dreaming things? Statistics was a looong time ago ... :O

So for example: Odds per egg of NOT getting a bumblebee are 75%

He has four eggs in this clutch

0.75^4 = 0.32 --> 32% chance of totally missing the bumblebee .. ??

100 - 32 --> 68% chance of hitting the bumblebee in that clutch ..??

... I totally and completely made that up ... It might be totally and completely wrong. ... Does anyone remember if there is a way to calculate that? :confused:

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Serpent_Nirvana

Is there a way to calculate the per clutch odds of hitting on a given morph by multiplying the per egg odds and subtracting from 100, or something like that?

Am I dreaming things? Statistics was a looong time ago ... :O

So for example: Odds per egg of NOT getting a bumblebee are 75%

He has four eggs in this clutch

0.75^4 = 0.32 --> 32% chance of totally missing the bumblebee .. ??

100 - 32 --> 68% chance of hitting the bumblebee in that clutch ..??

... I totally and completely made that up ... It might be totally and completely wrong. ... Does anyone remember if there is a way to calculate that? :confused:

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Not to a point no, I'll just go with what you said. It looks good atleast. I think the 25% solution makes it easier to follow, that is what I go with to keep it simple.

http://i199.photobucket.com/albums/a...telXSpider.jpg

My first time odds this year from pastel X spider. 3 bumble bees, 3 pastel, and 1 normal. I think I hit those "lotto odds"

Exactly right Serpent_Nirvana. This is why the more eggs the better your odds!

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Serpent_Nirvana

Is there a way to calculate the per clutch odds of hitting on a given morph by multiplying the per egg odds and subtracting from 100, or something like that?

Am I dreaming things? Statistics was a looong time ago ... :O

So for example: Odds per egg of NOT getting a bumblebee are 75%

He has four eggs in this clutch

0.75^4 = 0.32 --> 32% chance of totally missing the bumblebee .. ??

100 - 32 --> 68% chance of hitting the bumblebee in that clutch ..??

... I totally and completely made that up ... It might be totally and completely wrong. ... Does anyone remember if there is a way to calculate that? :confused:

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Quote:

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Originally Posted by MS2

http://i199.photobucket.com/albums/a...telXSpider.jpg

My first time odds this year from pastel X spider. 3 bumble bees, 3 pastel, and 1 normal. I think I hit those "lotto odds"

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My first year tying for a bee was 5 spiders, 1 pastel and 2 normals. This year with the same pairing I got 5 spiders 1 pastel 1 normal and 1 bee.