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The odds

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  • 02-17-2010, 11:39 PM
    bman123
    The odds
    Just wondering how you breeders fair against the odds. Like have you beaten odds like 1n8 or 1n16? How has your experiences been with the odds???

    Breeding can be funny I'm sure. I have yet to breed, and I have bad luck so I'm sure when the time comes for me it wont work the way I want. I read someone really creamed the odds and I'm sure it's rare but it can happen. Please feel free to explain some experiences you have had with striking out or hitting a homerun.
  • 02-17-2010, 11:44 PM
    jjsnakedude
    Re: The odds
    There can be some real crazy odds too. Somewhere on here someone put that just a quad recesive is 1/256 odd to get it from a quad rec. to quad rec. Its what makes breeding all that more cool.
  • 02-17-2010, 11:47 PM
    Sloanreptiles
    Re: The odds
    We have Triple Het Caramel Ghost Genetic Stripes, as soon as they are big enough to breed it is a 1 in 64. Wish us Luck!:salute:
  • 02-18-2010, 12:18 AM
    mainbutter
    Re: The odds
    I was once dealt a royal flush in clubs.

    When I compare how many hands of poker I play to how many eggs some of the bigger producers put out every year, it doesn't surprise me with some of the crazy things that some people get lucky with.
  • 02-18-2010, 03:30 AM
    bman123
    Re: The odds
    Yeah i expect the big wigs to hit odds every once in awhile. It's the smaller guys on the forum I am wondering about. Like if the odds are 1n8 and you hit 2 out a 6 egg clutch or completely strike out.

    I know what I want to produce and I have bad luck but I only have a 1n4 odd to get it. Hopefully breeding 2 females I will get a 1.1 pair lol..

    Make sure the girls are big and hope for a large clutch..What are your avg clutch sizes and how big are the girls??

    Been thinking if it would be worth it to wait til say the 3rd winter if she is big enough on the second.
  • 02-18-2010, 07:12 AM
    mason
    Re: The odds
    Interesting question.

    Last year we did quite well on co-doms, 60% of eggs from a co-dom turned out to be co-dom rather than normal. We *just* beat the odds last year.

    Our avgerage clutch size was 5, with age being more important than weight.
  • 02-18-2010, 12:07 PM
    Stewart_Reptiles
    Re: The odds
    I have beaten the odd last season with a 1/4, Het Pied to Het Pied - 8 good eggs - 4 Pieds 4 Poss Hets ---> Not too bad :D
  • 02-18-2010, 12:45 PM
    mason
    Re: The odds
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by Deborah View Post
    I have beaten the odd last season with a 1/4, Het Pied to Het Pied - 8 good eggs - 4 Pieds 4 Poss Hets ---> Not too bad :D

    Ah so you got my friends pieds. Greath clutch.

    3 seasons of het x het breedings and zero pieds! They absolutely are 100% hets too.

    Swings and round-a-bouts that's how it goes!
  • 02-18-2010, 01:24 PM
    bman123
    Re: The odds
    Wow Deb you showed the odds who's boss. 4 pieds out of hetxhet is amazing. You should of gotten 2 but you got 4, wow.
  • 02-18-2010, 01:33 PM
    Freakie_frog
    Re: The odds
    Two years ago I bred a spider to a normal, got 11 eggs and out of that got 8 spiders and 3 normals.

    I bred a Pastel to a pastel, got 6 eggs and 3 pastels 1 normal 2 supers..

    Pretty good odds there
  • 02-18-2010, 01:37 PM
    771subliminal
    Re: The odds
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by mainbutter View Post
    I was once dealt a royal flush in clubs.

    When I compare how many hands of poker I play to how many eggs some of the bigger producers put out every year, it doesn't surprise me with some of the crazy things that some people get lucky with.

    i was delt a royal flush b4, just sux that i was playing go fish at the time :(
  • 02-18-2010, 05:26 PM
    muddoc
    Re: The odds
    Two of the neatest clutches we have had was Het Caramel to Het Caramel - 5 eggs and 4 Caramels and 1 Poss. Het.

    The next clutch was Pastel to Pastel - 8 eggs - 8 Pastels (no Supers and no Normals).

    Sometimes you get good odds, and sometimes you don't , but most of the time they are pretty close.
  • 02-18-2010, 05:43 PM
    Louis Kirkland
    Re: The odds
    With odds, it's like the ol' sayin'......some days you're the bug and some days you're the windshield.

    Last year we had nine eggs from Lesser x Normal that produced eight Lessers. On the other hand we had seven eggs from Calico x Normal that produced seven Normals.

    Over time things pretty much even out.
  • 02-18-2010, 06:01 PM
    monty's dad
    Re: The odds
    I bred a het albino to an albino and got 5 eggs. They came out as 1 chicken and 4 goats! Talk about beating the odds!!!!!
  • 02-18-2010, 07:25 PM
    bman123
    Re: The odds
    I just wonder how you guys do. With my luck I will strike out on 2 clutches. I guess if I expect the lower end of the odds I wont be disappointed. I want to do spider x cinny and spider x pastel. Looking for cinnabees and bumblebees hopefully at least 1 bee.
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