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  • 09-26-2011, 09:47 AM
    Serpent_Nirvana
    Re: what are the odds of nothing???
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by RandyRemington View Post
    The chance of missing on six 50/50 eggs in a row is 0.5^6 = 1.5625% so your chance of getting at least one pied was 98.4375%

    Woo!! I'm not crazy! :taz:
  • 09-26-2011, 09:48 AM
    DemmBalls
    Re: what are the odds of nothing???
    My first clutch was a pastel to a normal. We had 8 eggs and 9 babies...And only got 1 pastel! This hobby can be very humbling! Just try again next year and I'm sorry about your luck.
  • 09-26-2011, 10:37 AM
    Blue Apple Herps
    Yup, 1/64 chance of NOT getting a pied.

    You get that from each egg being a 1/2 chance of being a pied. So for one egg to not be a pied, AND another egg not be a pied is a 1/2 x 1/2 = 1/4 chance. Just keep expanding that for 6 eggs.
  • 09-26-2011, 07:12 PM
    SlitherinSisters
    It happens more than you think. I've spoke with several people that took 2-3 years to prove their 100% het was actually a het.
  • 09-26-2011, 10:36 PM
    mr.spooky
    Re: what are the odds of nothing???
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by SlitherinSisters View Post
    It happens more than you think. I've spoke with several people that took 2-3 years to prove their 100% het was actually a het.

    thanks for the reply... i dont have nothing to loose, so ill pair them up a few times more. i dont guess theres anything wrong with having a dedicated 100% het producer.........:D im trying to look on the bright side of things:D
    thanks
    spooky
  • 09-27-2011, 07:56 AM
    mechnut450
    I gotten 1 pied from a 100% het to 100% het last season this seasdon I got slugs ( and she gain over 300 grams from her laying weight) and I got 6 eggs.
    you should of hit the odds at least once. I be wondering about the person you got her from if you don't get a pied in the next clutch. I only but hets if they got paper work, and if i get some thing the ( like my mojave ) that only 50% het pied she a normal until I can prove her out.
  • 09-27-2011, 09:55 AM
    clarky_man
    Re: what are the odds of nothing???
    I have the same problem now. I bought some het albinos in around 2002, I bred them this season for the first time long story how i took so long.

    This year they didn't prove out will be doing the same breeding this season coming to see how my luck goes if nothing will be replacing with a albino male.

    Also bred some spiders this season one clutch is hatching now which was bred with a albino female i bought in. Theres 3 Spiders of 5 eggs. So average odds there. One of the eggs has yet to pip.
  • 09-27-2011, 10:38 AM
    snakesRkewl
    I'd try one more time and hope to make a pied, otherwise somethings not right.
  • 09-27-2011, 11:59 AM
    Simplex
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by RandyRemington View Post
    your chance of getting at least one pied was 98.4375%

    UR GOLDEN give it another go.. U got 1.5625% room in stead of a measly .5%

    Quote:

    Originally Posted by mr.spooky View Post
    (unless theres a 99.5% chance that i should get atleast one pied.)

  • 09-27-2011, 09:05 PM
    mr.spooky
    Re: what are the odds of nothing???
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by Simplex View Post
    UR GOLDEN give it another go.. U got 1.5625% room in stead of a measly .5%

    so are you saying i have a chance?:banana:
    spooky
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