Re: whats the chances a of bumble bee in my female spiders first ever clucth
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Serpent_Nirvana
Is there a way to calculate the per clutch odds of hitting on a given morph by multiplying the per egg odds and subtracting from 100, or something like that?
Am I dreaming things? Statistics was a looong time ago ... :O
So for example: Odds per egg of NOT getting a bumblebee are 75%
He has four eggs in this clutch
0.75^4 = 0.32 --> 32% chance of totally missing the bumblebee .. ??
100 - 32 --> 68% chance of hitting the bumblebee in that clutch ..??
... I totally and completely made that up ... It might be totally and completely wrong. ... Does anyone remember if there is a way to calculate that? :confused:
Not to a point no, I'll just go with what you said. It looks good atleast. I think the 25% solution makes it easier to follow, that is what I go with to keep it simple.
Re: whats the chances a of bumble bee in my female spiders first ever clucth
http://i199.photobucket.com/albums/a...telXSpider.jpg
My first time odds this year from pastel X spider. 3 bumble bees, 3 pastel, and 1 normal. I think I hit those "lotto odds"
Re: whats the chances a of bumble bee in my female spiders first ever clucth
Exactly right Serpent_Nirvana. This is why the more eggs the better your odds!
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Serpent_Nirvana
Is there a way to calculate the per clutch odds of hitting on a given morph by multiplying the per egg odds and subtracting from 100, or something like that?
Am I dreaming things? Statistics was a looong time ago ... :O
So for example: Odds per egg of NOT getting a bumblebee are 75%
He has four eggs in this clutch
0.75^4 = 0.32 --> 32% chance of totally missing the bumblebee .. ??
100 - 32 --> 68% chance of hitting the bumblebee in that clutch ..??
... I totally and completely made that up ... It might be totally and completely wrong. ... Does anyone remember if there is a way to calculate that? :confused: