what are the odds of nothing???

[mr.spooky]

hi, i was just wandering if there is anyone that could tell me what the odds are of me hitting nothing.... i paired up my pied with a het pied that i bought as"100% het". she gave me 6 good eggs and all hatched!!!! but there was no pieds......... now, i know that there is always the chance of someone pulling over a fast one on you and misrepresenting a animal, but im willing to give them the benifit of the doubt... (unless theres a 99.5% chance that i should get atleast one pied.)
i know that hets are a gamble, and the only way to conferm shees NOT a het is to breed her again and then see what hapens, but i was just wandering ,,,,,,how bad my luck was.
thanks
spooky

[Blue Apple Herps]

Well each egg had a 50/50 shot of being a pied. So its possible you did just have ridiculously bad odds. It happens, you see people who do het x het and they get 5 eggs and 4 visuals. Or vice versa. I think you have to do the pairing again before you start questioning whether she's a het or not.

[KingPythons]

Well each egg had a 50/50 shot of being a pied. So its possible you did just have ridiculously bad odds. It happens, you see people who do het x het and they get 5 eggs and 4 visuals. Or vice versa. I think you have to do the pairing again before you start questioning whether she's a het or not.

I agree! After this I would get a pied male to see if she really even is het pied.

[snake lab]

If you put a pied to a 100% het pied you should have hit. But theres always a chance you just got beat by the odds gods. If you had dropped 8 eggs and all normals i would be pretty convinced it was not a het. But the only way to know for sure is to breed em again. I bred my pied last year to 3 hets and got 4 eggs out of one girl and 7 out of another and 9 out of the third. The one with 4 eggs gave me all hets, the one with 7 gave me 2 pieds and the one with 9 gave me 5 pieds so there is never a gaurantee when messing with recessive genes

[mr.spooky]

I agree! After this I would get a pied male to see if she really even is het pied.

i did use a pied male....... thats why i was asking about the odds. i was wandering pracentage wise just how unlucky i was LOL
spooky

[mr.spooky]

thanks for the replies,,, its good to know form the experience of others.. guess all thats left to do is try again........
thanks
spooky

[seeya205]

I would breed her again and see! I breed a Spider to a Normal and got all normals! Some of us aren't as lucky as others! Now you know that your babies are all 100% het pied!

[snakesRkewl]

Odds are fickle at best, we only got 2 black pastels from 10 eggs clown X black pastel but got 8 black pastel het albino's out of 9 eggs in a black pastel X albino clutch.

Hopefully next season you get some pieds or else! lol

[RandyRemington]

The chance of missing on six 50/50 eggs in a row is 0.5^6 = 1.5625% so your chance of getting at least one pied was 98.4375%

[mr.spooky]

The chance of missing on six 50/50 eggs in a row is 0.5^6 = 1.5625% so your chance of getting at least one pied was 98.4375%

hahahahaha thanks,, that was what i was looking for,, i dident know how to determin odds,,,,, soooooooooo anybody want me to tell them the winning numbers???
thanks
spooky